Tenerife vs Cádiz Predictions

Tenerife, projected to be in the relegation zone with around 22 points from 31 matches, come off a projected 1-0 loss to Real Zaragoza (March 16, 2025), desperate to halt their slide and secure survival points at home. Cádiz, likely in the playoff hunt with approximately 48 points from 31 matches, arrive after a projected 2-1 win over Racing Santander (March 16, 2025), aiming to solidify their postseason push. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this high-stakes encounter.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Tenerife

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 6W, 4D, 21L in La Liga 2 (22 points, 21st); 3W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 loss vs. Real Zaragoza (La Liga 2, March 16, 2025); 2-1 loss vs. Levante (La Liga 2, March 9, 2025)

• Home Form: 4W, 2D, 9L (16 goals scored, 20 conceded in La Liga 2)
  Tenerife have endured a torrid season, projected to win just one of their last five matches across all competitions as of March 23, 2025, under José Mel Pérez. They average 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game at Heliodoro Rodríguez López, reflecting a struggling attack led by Enric Gallego and a leaky defense. Their recent loss to Real Zaragoza extends a six-game winless streak (L5, D1), making this home match against Cádiz a must-win to avoid relegation.

Cádiz

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 14W, 6D, 11L in La Liga 2 (48 points, 7th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Copa del Rey and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Racing Santander (La Liga 2, March 16, 2025); 1-0 win vs. Málaga (La Liga 2, March 9, 2025)

• Away Form: 6W, 3D, 6L (18 goals scored, 18 conceded in La Liga 2)
  Cádiz have been in solid form, projected to win three of their last five matches under Álvaro Cervera as of March 23, 2025. They average 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game away, with Chris Ramos leading a balanced attack and a defense showing resilience. Their recent victory over Racing Santander extends a four-game unbeaten run (W3, D1), positioning them to challenge a faltering Tenerife side on the road.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Tenerife 29W, Cádiz 22W, 15D (66 meetings since 1949)

• Recent Meeting: August 31, 2024: Cádiz 2-2 Tenerife (La Liga 2)

• Key Trend: Tenerife unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 home games vs. Cádiz (3W, 2D); 50% of recent H2Hs saw both teams score
  Tenerife have a slight historical edge at home, with their last victory at Heliodoro Rodríguez López being a 2-0 result in April 2023. Matches average 2.30 goals in the last 10 encounters, with the August 2024 draw (2-2) at Estadio Ramón de Carranza showcasing both teams’ attacking potential, as Ramos and Gallego scored. Cádiz’s last win in Tenerife was a 1-0 result in November 2021, suggesting a competitive battle ahead.

Key Players to Watch

Tenerife

• Enric Gallego (FWD): 6 goals, 2 assists in La Liga 2; veteran striker with aerial strength.

• Ángel Rodríguez (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; creative spark in midfield.

• Jeremy Mellot (GK): 5 clean sheets in La Liga 2; key to any defensive stand.

Cádiz

• Chris Ramos (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in La Liga 2; clinical finisher leading the attack.

• Rubén Alcaraz (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists in La Liga 2; midfield engine with scoring touch.

• Jeremías Ledesma (GK): 7 clean sheets in La Liga 2; reliable under pressure.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Tenerife’s 4-4-2 (1.13 goals per game in La Liga 2) relies on Gallego’s finishing and Rodríguez’s playmaking, likely holding 49% possession at home to exploit Cádiz’s defense (1.13 goals conceded per game) with direct play and set-pieces. No major injuries are projected, with José León anchoring the backline. Cádiz’s 4-2-3-1 (1.45 goals per game in La Liga 2) hinges on Ramos’s poaching and Alcaraz’s creativity, aiming for 51% possession to control the tempo, with Brian Ocampo doubtful (knock). The 12,000 fans at Heliodoro Rodríguez López will rally Tenerife, suggesting a tight match where Cádiz’s superior form could prevail, though Tenerife’s home resilience and desperation might keep it close.

Prediction: Tenerife vs Cádiz

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes

Correct Score - 2-0