Torino vs Empoli Predictions

Torino, projected to be mid-table with around 35 points from 28 matches, come off a projected 2-1 win over Udinese (March 9, 2025), aiming to maintain their recent upturn in form. Empoli, likely in the relegation zone with approximately 22 points from 28 matches, arrive after a projected 1-0 loss to Bologna (March 9, 2025), desperate to reverse a dismal run. This preview examines team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this crucial clash.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Torino

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 9W, 8D, 11L in Serie A (35 points, 11th); 5W, 2D, 3L in Coppa Italia and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Udinese (Serie A, March 9, 2025); 1-1 draw vs. Parma (Serie A, March 2, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 4D, 4L (18 goals scored, 14 conceded in Serie A)
  Torino have shown signs of improvement, winning two of their last five matches across all competitions. They average 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game at home, reflecting a solid defense and a functional attack. Their recent victory over Udinese suggests they’re building momentum, positioning them well against an Empoli side struggling for form.

Empoli

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 5W, 7D, 16L in Serie A (22 points, 18th); 3W, 2D, 4L in Coppa Italia and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-0 loss vs. Bologna (Serie A, March 9, 2025); 2-0 loss vs. Roma (Serie A, March 2, 2025)

• Away Form: 2W, 3D, 9L (10 goals scored, 23 conceded in Serie A)
  Empoli have been in freefall, winless in their last nine league matches as of March 15, 2025, with four losses in their last five. Their away form averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game, highlighting a lack of attacking threat and defensive solidity. Their recent defeat to Bologna extends a torrid run, making this trip to Turin a daunting task.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Torino 11W, Empoli 15W, 15D (41 meetings since 1988)

• Recent Meeting: December 13, 2024: Empoli 1-0 Torino (Serie A)

• Key Trend: Torino have won 3 of their last 5 home H2Hs; 60% of recent meetings saw over 2.5 goals
  Empoli have a slight historical edge overall, bolstered by their 1-0 win earlier this season, but Torino have dominated at home recently, winning three of their last five against Empoli at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, including a 1-0 victory in December 2023. Matches average 2.50 goals, suggesting a potential for an open game despite Empoli’s current struggles.

Key Players to Watch

Torino

• Che Adams (FWD): 7 goals, 3 assists in Serie A; dynamic striker with recent form.

• Nikola Vlašić (MID): 5 goals, 4 assists in Serie A; creative playmaker in midfield.

• Vanja Milinković-Savić (GK): 6 clean sheets in Serie A; towering presence in goal.

Empoli

• Sebastiano Esposito (FWD): 6 goals, 2 assists in Serie A; loan star and primary scorer.

• Liam Henderson (MID): 3 goals, 3 assists in Serie A; key midfielder despite team woes.

• Etrit Berisha (GK): 5 clean sheets in Serie A; vital for any defensive hope.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Torino’s 4-3-2-1 (1.25 goals per game in Serie A) relies on Adams’ finishing and Vlašić’s creativity, likely controlling 54% possession at home to exploit Empoli’s fragile defense. Injuries to Perr Schuurs (knee) and Pietro Pellegri (ACL) are long-term, but their squad remains robust. Empoli’s 4-3-1-2 (0.82 goals per game in Serie A) hinges on Esposito’s poaching and Henderson’s energy, aiming for 46% possession to counter, with Tyronne Ebuehi doubtful (injury). The 36,000 fans at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino will rally the hosts, suggesting a match where Torino’s home strength and Empoli’s poor form could lead to a decisive outcome.

Prediction: Torino vs Empoli

Our Prediction: Torino to Win 1-0