VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München Predictions

VfB Stuttgart will take on FC Bayern München at the MHPArena on March 1, 2025, in a marquee Bundesliga matchup, as Round 24 brings together two teams with contrasting narratives. VfB Stuttgart, under Sebastian Hoeneß, are projected to sit 7th with around 35 points from 23 matches as of February 26, 2025, following a 1-1 draw with Hoffenheim (Feb 23, 2025), aiming to upset Bayern at home to boost their European hopes. FC Bayern München, managed by Vincent Kompany, are expected to lead the league with approximately 55 points, buoyed by a 4-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt (Feb 23, 2025), looking to extend their dominance. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München in this Bundesliga showdown?

Team Form & Recent Performances

VfB Stuttgart

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 26): 10W, 5D, 8L (35 points, 7th in Bundesliga)
Latest Result: 1-1 draw vs. Hoffenheim (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 6W, 2D, 3L (20 goals scored, 14 conceded)

VfB Stuttgart have been a revelation this season, though their recent 1-1 draw with Hoffenheim reflects a slight dip, with two draws in their last three league games (1W, 2D, 0L) as of February 26, 2025. Projected at 35 points from 23 matches, their last home win—a 2-1 victory over Augsburg (Feb 15, 2025)—shows their MHPArena strength. At home, they’ve averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game, suggesting they could challenge Bayern with their attacking flair.

FC Bayern München

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Feb 26): 17W, 4D, 2L (55 points, 1st in Bundesliga)
Latest Result: 4-0 win vs. Eintracht Frankfurt (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 8W, 2D, 1L (25 goals scored, 10 conceded)

FC Bayern München have been relentless, projected at 55 points from 23 matches as of February 26, 2025. Their 4-0 thrashing of Frankfurt—with Harry Kane scoring twice—marked their fifth win in six league games (5W, 1D, 0L), reinforcing their title credentials. On the road, they’ve averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game, blending a lethal attack with a league-best defense, making them favorites in Stuttgart.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: FC Bayern München 47W, VfB Stuttgart 11W, 10D (68 meetings since 1978)
Recent Meetings:

• Oct 19, 2024: Bayern München 4-0 Stuttgart (Bundesliga)

• May 4, 2024: Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern München (Bundesliga)

• Dec 17, 2023: Bayern München 3-0 Stuttgart (Bundesliga)

Key Trend: Bayern have won 3 of the last 5 meetings; 3 of the last 5 H2Hs went over 2.5 goals.

Bayern hold a commanding historical edge, with their 4-0 win in October 2024 at Allianz Arena showcasing their dominance, led by Michael Olise’s brace. Stuttgart’s 3-1 upset in May 2024 at home—thanks to Deniz Undav—proves they can compete, though Bayern’s consistency prevails. Matches have averaged 2.8 goals in their last five encounters, hinting at a potential goal-fest.

Key Players to Watch

VfB Stuttgart

• Deniz Undav (FWD): 9 goals, 4 assists in 2024/25; Stuttgart’s top scorer and Bayern nemesis.

• Maximilian Mittelstädt (MID): 5 goals, 3 assists; dynamic wing-back with flair.

• Alexander Nübel (GK): 6 clean sheets; ex-Bayern loanee facing his parent club.

FC Bayern München

• Harry Kane (FWD): 15 goals, 6 assists in 2024/25; Bayern’s lethal talisman.

• Michael Olise (MID): 8 goals, 5 assists; explosive winger in top form.

• Manuel Neuer (GK): 8 clean sheets; veteran anchor of the defense.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Stuttgart’s 4-2-3-1 (1.74 goals per game) thrives on Undav’s finishing and Mittelstädt’s overlaps, testing Bayern’s defense (0.87 goals conceded per game). Bayern’s 4-3-3 (2.39 goals per game) leverages Kane’s movement and Olise’s pace, exploiting Stuttgart’s backline (1.43 goals conceded per game). Stuttgart’s Dan-Axel Zagadou (out, injury) and Bayern’s João Palhinha (doubtful, injury) may affect lineups, with MHPArena’s 60,000 fans pushing for an upset.

Prediction: VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München

Our Prediction: FC Bayern München to Win

TIP 2: Goalscorer - Harry Kane

TIP 3: Corner - 9-11