Vorskla vs Karpaty Predictions

Vorskla will face Karpaty at the Oleksiy Butovsky Vorskla Stadium on March 6, 2025, in a crucial Ukrainian Premier League matchup, as Round 20 brings together a Vorskla squad aiming to climb the table and a Karpaty team looking to solidify their mid-table position. Vorskla, under Serhiy Dolhanskyi, are projected to sit 10th with around 24 points from 19 matches as of March 5, 2025, following a 1-0 loss to Shakhtar Donetsk (Feb 23, 2025), desperate to leverage their home advantage to secure vital points. Karpaty, managed by Vladyslav Lupashko, are expected to be 8th with approximately 26 points, coming off a 2-1 league win over Rukh Lviv (Feb 23, 2025), seeking to build on recent form. This expert prediction explores team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to answer: Who will win Vorskla vs Karpaty in this Premier League clash?

Team Form & Recent Performances

Vorskla

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 5): 6W, 6D, 7L (24 points, 10th in Premier League)
Latest Result: 1-0 loss vs. Shakhtar Donetsk (Feb 23, 2025)
Home Form: 4W, 3D, 3L (12 goals scored, 10 conceded)

Vorskla have been inconsistent this season, with their recent 1-0 defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk marking their third loss in five league games (2W, 0D, 3L) as of March 5, 2025. Projected at 24 points from 19 matches, their last home win—a 2-1 victory over Zorya Luhansk (Feb 15, 2025)—extends a decent home run (3W in last 5 home games), though they’ve struggled to find the net consistently. At home, they’ve averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, relying on Ivan Nesterenko’s creativity, but injuries to key players like Mykola Kovtalyuk have hampered their attack.

Karpaty

2024/25 Record (Projected as of Mar 5): 7W, 5D, 7L (26 points, 8th in Premier League)
Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Rukh Lviv (Feb 23, 2025)
Away Form: 3W, 2D, 5L (11 goals scored, 15 conceded)

Karpaty have shown signs of resurgence, with their recent 2-1 league win over Rukh Lviv marking their third victory in four league games (3W, 0D, 1L) as of March 5, 2025. Projected at 26 points from 19 matches, their last away win—a 1-0 triumph over LNZ Cherkasy (Feb 15, 2025)—offers hope, though they’ve won just twice in their last six away games (2W, 1D, 3L). On the road, they’ve averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game, with Artem Shabanov’s defensive solidity and Pablo Alvarez’s playmaking (4 goals, 3 assists) keeping them competitive, though defensive frailty remains a concern.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

Overall Record: Vorskla 4W, Karpaty 3W, 2D (9 meetings since 2016)
Recent Meetings:

• Aug 24, 2024: Karpaty 1-1 Vorskla (Premier League)

• Apr 15, 2019: Vorskla 1-0 Karpaty (Premier League)

• Oct 7, 2018: Karpaty 0-2 Vorskla (Premier League)

Key Trend: Vorskla are unbeaten in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D); 3 of the last 5 H2Hs stayed under 2.5 goals.

The teams drew 1-1 in their most recent encounter on August 24, 2024, at Arena Lviv, with Alvarez’s goal for Karpaty canceled out by Pavlo Isenko’s late equalizer for Vorskla, reflecting their competitive balance. Vorskla’s last home win over Karpaty was a 1-0 result in April 2019, and matches have averaged 1.8 goals in their last five meetings, suggesting a tight, low-scoring trend, though Vorskla’s home edge (2W in last 3 home H2Hs) could tilt the balance.

Key Players to Watch

Vorskla

• Ivan Nesterenko (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists in 2024/25; Vorskla’s creative spark and top assister.

• Oleksandr Sklyar (MID): 3 goals; veteran midfielder with clutch moments.

• Pavlo Isenko (GK): 5 clean sheets; young keeper vital to Vorskla’s defensive hopes.

Karpaty

• Pablo Alvarez (MID): 4 goals, 3 assists in 2024/25; Karpaty’s playmaking star with flair.

• Artem Shabanov (DEF): 2 goals; defensive rock and aerial threat.

• Denys Miroshnichenko (GK): 6 clean sheets; key to Karpaty’s resilience.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Vorskla’s 4-2-3-1 (1.05 goals per game) relies on Nesterenko’s creativity and Sklyar’s tenacity, aiming to exploit Karpaty’s shaky away defense (1.50 goals conceded per game), though injuries to Mykola Kovtalyuk (knee) and Ibrahim Kane (ankle) limit their attack, with Ihor Perduta doubtful (calf). Karpaty’s 4-3-3 (1.16 goals per game) hinges on Alvarez’s playmaking and Shabanov’s defensive presence, using their counter-attacking style (avg. 48% possession away) to disrupt Vorskla’s build-up (avg. 50% at home). Karpaty’s Orest Kuzyk (out, thigh) and Vitaliy Kholod (doubtful, hamstring) are concerns, with Yevhen Pidlepenets stepping up (3 goals). Vorskla Stadium’s 25,000 fans will push the hosts, but Karpaty’s recent form could test Dortmund’s resolve.

Prediction: Vorskla vs Karpaty

Our Prediction: Vorskla to Win 1-0