Team Form & Recent Performances

Wrexham

• 2025/26 Record: 2W, 2D, 2L in Championship (8 points, 13th); 2024/25 League One 1st with 24W, 8D, 4L (promoted)

• Latest Result: Drew 1-1 vs. Millwall (September 28, 2025), won 2-1 vs. Wycombe (September 21, 2025)

• Home Form: 1W, 1D, 1L in 3 Championship home games (4 goals scored, 4 conceded)

Wrexham are adapting to the Championship, sitting mid-table with a mixed start. Their 1-1 draw against Millwall showed resilience, with Paul Mullin scoring the equalizer despite 48% possession. The 2-1 win over Wycombe highlighted home grit. At Racecourse Ground, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 5. Injuries to Elliot Lee (hamstring) and doubts over Steven Fletcher are concerns. Their 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game reflect a direct, counter-attacking style.

Birmingham City

• 2025/26 Record: 3W, 1D, 2L in Championship (10 points, 6th); 2024/25 Championship 20th with 8W, 11D, 19L (relegated)

• Latest Result: Won 2-0 vs. Luton Town (September 28, 2025), drew 1-1 vs. Swansea (September 21, 2025)

• Away Form: 1W, 1D, 1L in 3 Championship away games (3 goals scored, 3 conceded)

Birmingham City are in playoff contention, with a 2-0 win over Luton showcasing defensive solidity under Chris Davies. Their 1-1 draw against Swansea was competitive. Away, they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over their last five games (2W, 2D, 1L), they’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 4. Injuries to Krystian Bielik (knee) and doubts over Ethan Laird weaken their squad. Their 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target per game indicate balance.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Birmingham City lead with 3 wins to Wrexham’s 1, 1 draw in 5 matches

• Recent Meeting: May 25, 2025—Birmingham City 2-1 Wrexham (League One play-off)

• Key Trend: Birmingham won 3 of the last 4 H2Hs; 3 of 4 saw both teams score, averaging 2.75 goals per game; Birmingham won their last away H2H 2-1

Birmingham’s 2-1 win in the May 2025 League One play-off final, with goals from Jay Stansfield and Krystian Bielik, secured promotion, per. Wrexham’s last win was 1-0 in 2024. Both teams scored in 75% of recent H2Hs, with Birmingham averaging 1.75 goals to Wrexham’s 1.0. Wrexham’s home form (1W in 3) meets Birmingham’s away resilience (1W in 3), setting up a competitive clash.

Key Players to Watch

Wrexham

• Paul Mullin (FWD): 5 goals in Championship; scored vs. Millwall. Top scorer.

• Elliot Lee (MID): 2 goals, 2 assists in Championship; doubtful with hamstring issue.

• Ben Foster (GK): 3 clean sheets in Championship, 70% save rate. Veteran reliability.

Birmingham City

• Jay Stansfield (FWD): 4 goals in Championship; scored in H2H. In form.

• Ethan Laird (MID): 2 assists in Championship; doubtful.

• Brad Collins (GK): 2 clean sheets in Championship, 68% save rate. Key away.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Wrexham’s 4-3-3, under Phil Parkinson, relies on Mullin’s finishing and Lee’s creativity, with George Dobson anchoring, averaging 49% possession and 3.5 shots on target per game. Without Lee, they’ll lean on James McClean, targeting Birmingham’s 1.0 conceded away. Birmingham’s 4-2-3-1, led by Chris Davies, uses Stansfield’s movement and Laird’s energy, averaging 52% possession and 4.0 shots on target. With Bielik out, they’ll counter, exploiting Wrexham’s high line. Racecourse Ground’s 12,000 fans will boost Wrexham. Web buzz favors Birmingham at 2.20 odds, with BTTS at 1.65, citing H2H and form.