NBA Picks & Betting Tips: Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 12th November
NLB Staff
11.11.2024 13:19
Nets vs Pelicans Prediction
Heading into this game, the Brooklyn Nets have continued proving many doubters wrong with their roster reconstruction, while New Orleans has struggled with injuries and high-volume play. As the Nets lost a 5-point game against a top Cleveland team, the Pelicans have come in with their 4th straight loss. This game will occur on November 12th at 6:30 A.M. IST in Smoothie King Center of New Orleans. Below are our betting tips, player props, vital injuries, and recent head-to-head performances to come up with a potential outcome for this matchup.
Nets vs Pelicans Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline Pick
Looking at the money line in this game, the Nets do have a -115 spread and should be taken. As this squad enters with Dennis Schroeder and Cameron Thomas in the backcourt, they really should have a very efficient offensive night. Seeing this, they also have Cameron Johnson as a great wing scorer and should have a night that could resemble Brandon Ingram’s in some way. If that happens, the Pelicans will have to look in for Yves Missi to play a higher role against a stronger Nic Claxton. Seeing that Brandon Boston Jr. is trying to make his name vs Thomas, he could have a bigger game, but potentially will not have enough to match the Nets' backcourt. As Brooklyn has a deep bench with Ben Simmons and Jalen Wilson, they should win the -115 spread and 2nd in 5 games.
2. Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans Point Spread Pick
As the Pelicans were favored to win this game, the Nets, +1.5 spread, should win it due to the number of losses New Orleans has. Although it will be pretty close, Brooklyn should pull it out because of their growth as a team. Seeing Dennis Schroeder going on Jose Alvardo creates a massive mismatch for the Nets and can help him drive in or kick it out to Cam Thomas. As Thomas has continued developing as one of the best shooting guards, his chance to stay on Brandon Boston Jr. will be an advantage for him offensively. Although Thomas has been weak defensively, Boston doesn’t provide the same offensive arsenal of many great guards and could struggle in this game with Cameron Johnson switching on him or Ben Simmon's size when in. Knowing this New Orleans will have an advantage at small forward with Brandon Ingram being a great scorer, but it won’t be as many points as expected due to Cameron Johnson firing back from deep and playing good defense on him. Therefore, the +1.5 spread for Brooklyn is a perfect selection in this game.
3. Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under in this game is at 215 points, the score should go over with both teams possessing competent offense. Seeing that New Orleans has a great small forward who can create and a shooting guard to help him out, it can resolve a few of the Pelicans' injury issues. Along with that, knowing there is a power forward who can finish his dunks, they should help a lot in this line that the Nets should have a slight advantage in. Seeing that Brooklyn has a great backcourt and a good outside 3-point shooter as well, they should have a pretty high-scoring game. With their last game being combined for 195 points, this should be way higher as both teams have found improvements and everyone on the Pelicans was injured at that time as well.
Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans Top Player Props
Dennis Schroeder over 6.5 assists at 1.80: As Dennis Schroeder has turned into one of the best passers around the league, he continues to dominate with great shooters like Cam Thomas and Cameron Johnson around him. Going up against a depleted Pelicans team and a much smaller guard in Jose Alvardo, Schroeder should improve on his 6.6 assists. Seeing this advantage, the over should be taken for the Nets point guard.
Brandon Ingram under 26.5 points at 1.85: Seeing that Brandon Ingram has been one of the best shooters in the league, he should continue to be the main scorer on this Pelicans roster. Having scored 22.8 points, the one thing is he will score a good number of points, but going up against Cameron Johnson won’t let him go over his normal limit. Knowing this plus the fact that New Orleans has no one else to rely on, Ingram will be close to the point total of 26 but won’t reach it.
Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury News & Impact
Briefly mention any major injuries or player news that could impact the game.
Brooklyn Nets Injuries: Although this Brooklyn team will still be without Bojan Bogdanovic and Day’ron Sharpe, they have managed to be a stronger team by bringing in cheaper pieces like Cameron Johnson or Jalen Wilson to fix this issue. Seeing this, the Nets should continue running out with the same lineups and be that dark horse team that could beat anyone on any night.
New Orleans Pelicans Injuries: As the Pelicans come into this game, they have been one of the most injured squads league-wide and will have to figure out how to play without them. Losing shooting guard CJ McCollum, 18.8 points, as their best three-point scorer, they continue being without Dejounte Murray who got injured on the first night of this season. Including the loss of Jordan Hawkins, and lower-back strain, this unit has also a lot of top defenders in Herb Jones, 6.8 points, who developed a solid inside scoring game. In addition, Zion Williamson, 22.7 points and 8.0 rebounds, has been ruled out for a long time due to a right ankle sprain and could end up being a key reason that this Pelicans squad can’t have a huge jump until Trey Murphy III comes back.
Nets vs Pelicans Head-to-Head Trends
As the Pelicans have won two straight games against Brooklyn, this will be a much more tightly contested game that could go either way. Hoping to build on their streak, they will face a Nets team who had a 7-game winning streak against them that ended last season. As these matchups tend to be high-scoring and either blowouts or games down to the wire, New Orleans is 3-1 against the spread vs Brooklyn during their last 4 matchups.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Based on current public trends, the New Orleans Pelicans have a 56.3% chance of winning this matchup against New Orleans.
Nets vs Pelicans Final Prediction
As the Pelicans were originally favored to win this game, the latest news of Zion Williamson’s injury will cause them to have a tougher time. Seeing that the Brooklyn Nets have developed an underrated chemistry this season, they should end up having a very strong game. With Ben Simmons now being benched, full-time starter Dennis Schroeder will get more minutes as one of the best attack point guards. At his age many didn’t expect him to show up like this, but the former German player has developed into one of the best drivers plus passers in the league. Getting his whole time with Cam Thomas now, he should help the young shooting guard get even better looks as one of the best shooters in the game. Seeing that Thomas has one of the best efficiencies in the league and scores at an extremely high volume, this should help the Nets beat a depleted Pelicans backcourt of Jose Alvarado and Brandon Boston Jr. Although Boston Jr. showed a lot of prowess as a scorer in his last game and Alvardo is already a well-renowned defender, they both don’t have enough firepower to defeat such a high-scoring backcourt. Meanwhile, the Pelicans do have an advantage as a small forward with Brandon Ingram being one of the best mid-range shooters in the league and layup creators through the dribble. Although this is true, his matchup against Cameron Johnson will end up being very tough because their sizes match each other and Johnson has been a very strong three-point shooter. With Nic Claxton in the middle for Brooklyn, Yves Missi will create another size disadvantage giving Brooklyn better looks and extra opportunities. Seeing all this, the Pelicans could still win this game if Brandon Boston Jr. can replicate his performance while Brandon Ingram and Javonte Green remain key scorers.
Our prediction: Brooklyn Nets to win and cover +1.5 spread, while the score goes over 215 points.
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