NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings
NLB Staff
06.11.2024 12:41
Raptors vs Sacramento Kings
As the Sacramento Kings head into this matchup having shown great potential with their key offseason acquisitions, their next opponent will be a rebuilding Toronto Raptors roster that hopes for continuous growth. With Sacramento entering this game with a great winning shot against the Miami Heat, they face a Raptors squad that took another loss to the Denver Nuggets. This game will start on November 7th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Golden 1 Center of Sacramento, California. Below are our betting tips, player props, head-to-head trends, and public trends to cultivate a prediction for this matchup.
Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Moneyline Pick
The money line for the Kings at -500 is a must because they will have a chance for another easy victory against a much weaker opponent. As the Raptors have one of the most depleted rosters in the league, they will have to rely on youngsters like Davion Mitchell and Gradey Dick to get them points. Even though there was a lot of prowess in Gradey Dick’s offensive game, the offensive struggles for Jakob Poeltl inside alongside the understanding that Chris Boucher has to play a bigger role could lead to problems. With the Kings having elite wings in Keegan Murray and Demar Derozan available, plus an elite point guard named De’Aaron Fox they should continue dominating as Sabonis remains their leader. With them hitting the money-line 2 of the last 3 times against the Kings, they should improve upon that record.
2. Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Point Spread Pick
With the Sacramento Kings heading into the game carrying a -10.5 spread, they should be able to control the floor on both ends of the floor. As De’Aaron Fox gets an advantage on someone who is young and just learning his role in Davion Mitchell, he should drive and get multiple opportunities from long range. Meanwhile, Mitchell who can add his assists is going to be the Raptors' only true passer with Gradey Dick being known as a spot-up shooter. Seeing this plus the fact that Demar Derozan can use his great footwork to get shots up against RJ Barrett, the Kings should be able to stretch this lead out. Even though the Raptors could have Chris Boucher score a ton inside over a lengthy, but growing defender in Keegan Murray, Domontas Sabonis will dominate the glass once again and score at a very high rate. Also known for his defense, he can bring doubles with Keegan Murray causing even more extra positions for the Kings. Seeing this, the -10.5 spread is a must for the Kings as they should win this game with ease.
3. Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the Sacramento Kings and Toronto Raptors play each other, this should be a very high-scoring affair between both squads. Although the Raptors have a bunch of their offensive pieces missing, they have shown to score points even during times of struggles and the Kings should help carry this line as well. With great passing point guards on both sides, both teams possess pretty good shooting guards who will help as well. Even though the Kings have the advantage on the wings because of their three-point shooting ability and mid-range game, there are a couple of pieces on the Raptors who can add to that. With the combined score last time being 159 points, it won’t be that high but shouldn’t be much lower either.
Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Top Player Props
De’Aaron Fox over 24.5 points at 1.83: As Fox continues his impressive season as one of the quickest guards in the game, he not only can drive in but also can make a lot of contested threes. As someone who is averaging 24.5 points per night and shot over 50% from three in 2 of his last three nights after struggling earlier, he should have an easy advantage over a slower and smaller guard in Davion Mitchell. This should be a great scoring output for Fox as Sabonis will keep looking for him from inside as the Kings' main scoring threat.
Davion Mitchell over 7 assists at 1.95: Even though Davion Mitchell will be going up against a tough defender like De’Aaron Fox, he could still have many chances to find Gradey Dick wide-open as a shooter who can create. As the Raptors shooting guard could also be covered, having RJ Barrett back could help create drives inside with Jakob Poeltl waiting there to dunk it in. Seeing this plus the fact he has been averaging 6.4 assists per game this season, it could be very possible for him to go much higher with the Raptors having to score a lot to pace down the Kings.
Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Injury News & Impact
Toronto Raptors Injuries: A team that is missing multiple pieces, the Toronto Raptors now potentially could lose Immanuel Quickley for a while after an ankle injury. As a prolific guard who scored 13.0 points a night, his loss could make Gradey Dick have a lot more shots at a rapid pace to keep this game close. With Scottie Barnes, 19.3 points, out again, the Raptors will be without their best all-around forward and have to rely on Ochai Agbaji to play an extended role off the bench with Chris Boucher constantly switching between center and power forward. In addition, losing Bruce Brown, 10.8 points on 47.9% shooting, and Kelly Olynk, 9.8 points with 5.3 rebounds, take away two huge forward pieces that could have made a big difference in the Raptors second rotation. Having these many players out, they will have to expect many young players to step up against a high-flying Kings offense.
Sacramento Kings Injuries: As the Kings don’t have any injuries and Kevin Heurter potentially returning to full health after an illness, they should be at full strength in this matchup against the Raptors.
Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head Trends
As the Sacramento Kings have won 2 of their last 3 matchups against the Toronto Raptors, this dominance should continue with most of these games being very tight. As 3 of the last 5 games have come down to the wire as the winning team won by 5 or fewer points, this matchup seems to be very different due to the difference in where both rosters stand. Although both teams are 2-2 against the spread, the Kings are undefeated at home during their previous 3 games and have managed to win both of them by scoring over 120 points.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current trends for this game, 75.2% of the bettors think that the Sacramento Kings will come out victorious against the Toronto Raptors.
Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Final Prediction
As the Toronto Raptors enter this game having a lot of their major pieces out, the Sacramento Kings will control this game from the jump. With Davion Mitchell having to start at point guard against his former team, De’Aaron Fox’s improved defense will play a huge factor in forcing a lot of steals and using his speed for transition offense. Even though Gradey Dick has shown much improvement in the backcourt, having to face an elite defender like Demar Derozan switching on him or potentially Kevin Heurter could cause him to have a lot of forced shots. With them both being great three-point protectors, they can stretch the floor themselves as a great three-point and mid-range combo. Having the ability to score at a very fast pace with Fox handling the ball at the top, they could create a lot of open shots and cause either Gradey Dick or RJ Barrett to get caused in a trap. As a struggling defender in Chris Boucher has to go up against one of the young elite wings in Keegan Murray, the Kings will be able to use all parts of the floor even more and create a high percentage look inside or outside. Having Sabonis in the middle over Jakob Poeltl is their biggest advantage as his offensive game is something that many great defensive centers can’t stop. Being a stretch 5 that has the passing ability as well as aggressive rebounding, his shooting is something that will force Poeltl to lose him and let him be able to have a bunch of space on the outside. Seeing this chance to fire away, plus the fact that Sacramento has Malik Monk coming in as a great bench piece, Toronto can only keep this game close if Gradey Dick finds open sports around the floor and Jamal Shead plays a solid role as their point guard.
Our prediction: The Sacramento Kings win this game and cover a -10.5 spread, while the score goes over 234.5 points.
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