NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction November 9th
NLB Staff
08.11.2024 11:47
Los Angeles Clippers and Sacramento Kings
The Los Angeles Clippers have found success without their top player, Kawhi Leonard. They go up against one of the hottest offensive teams in the Sacramento Kings. The Clippers are coming off a 12-point victory against Philadelphia, but they play a Sacramento squad that outlasted Toronto by 15. This matchup is slated for November 9th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Golden 1 Center of Sacramento, California. Underneath are our head-to-head matchups, key player props, betting picks, and important injuries to predict this matchup.
La Clippers Vs Sacramento Kings Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Moneyline Pick
As the money line for this game is at -234 for the Kings, they should win this with their threat of scoring against any defense. Having a trio that includes Domantas Sabonis, Demar Derozan, and De’Aaron Fox, many Clippers defenders will have to stress
out about which player to guard. With Derozan being on Terrance Mann, it could force Derrick Jones Jr. to move up giving Keegan Murray a size advantage to finish. Although James Harden could have a great matchup against De’Aaron Fox, it depends on the style the Kings play and could require Norman Powell to keep switching, leaving Kevin Hureter with an easy chance to shoot threes. Seeing that Sacramento will have another lights-out offensive performance and their defense is coming together with Malik Monk, the -234 is a great take for this game.
2. Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Point Spread Pick
As the spread in this game is -5.5 for the Kings, it should be taken even though the game won’t feature as big of a blowout as many think. With this Kings roster having Domantas Sabonis inside, he can provide a lot of layups and mid-range shots against Ivica Zubac, while forcing him to guard outside with Sacramento’s center being a great perimeter shooter. Although James Harden could win his battle against De’Aaron Fox due to size, anything related to speed will help Fox stop and pop for three or create easy floaters. With Demar Derozan on the outside, this is where the Kings can easily dominate the game as he provides great spacing and dribbling over Terance Mann. Someone who keeps scoring at a very high rate should help this team that already has another great shooter in Keegan Murray. Seeing that the Kings offense has a lot more offensive firepower, they could win this game by quite a bit although the Clippers should score points too.
3. Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under for this game is 239.5, the Clippers and Kings possess great offenses that will help them get over. Seeing both teams having elite scoring centers, they also have great backcourts that can provide threes and inside shots with ease. Even though the Clippers' wings have been a bit weak this season, Sacramento’s should help them get over the line. As 2 of the last 4 games went over 229 points, this game will provide a lot of scoring with two offenses that have mighty improved.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Top Player Props
James Harden over 21.5 points at 1.80: Being the Clippers' primary ball-handler, James Harden has been one of the most elite scorers from that position this season. Even though he doesn’t have a three-point rhythm back and is going up against De’Aaron Fox, his dribbling abilities help him drive in with ease. As Fox or Derozan could switch on Norman Powell, Harden could get more open looks and mismatches, helping him get over his 20.8 point-per-game season average by a huge amount.
Domantas Sabonis over 20.5 points at 1.87: With the Kings running their offense through Sabonis in the middle once again, his scoring ability has been a huge factor in their success on that end. As he keeps scoring from mid-range and inside with ease, he could take over an advantage with Ivica Zubac guarding him this game. Although he is just shooting 50% from deep, Sabonis has also been averaging 20.2 points and should get over that number in this game.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Injury News & Impact
Los Angeles Clippers Injuries: As the Clippers still have Kawhi Leonard, 23.7 points and 6.1 rebounds, out due to his knee injury, they will continue missing their best two-way star. But, at this point, they have seemed to figure out how to run an offense with Terance Mann starting consistently and switching out for Amir Coffey to take up that role. Seeing this plus all the firepower the Clippers have led by James Harden, Kawhi Leonard and Mo Bamba’s knee issues don’t have much of an impact at the current moment.
Sacramento Kings Injuries: Looking at the Sacramento roster, they have no current injuries on their roster and should continue dominating with their full rotations out there.
La Clippers Vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head Trends
As the Kings have slowly taken advantage of this matchup winning two straight games against Los Angeles, this streak should continue as they look like the more dominant squad. Having won their games by 14 or more points, Sacramento had a three-game winning streak going against the Clippers before they took two losses at the end of 2023. With them being 3-1 vs the spread during the last four matchups against this Clippers squad, it seems like they have control of expanding it even more. Seeing that the Kings have averaged 116.5 points in this calendar year when playing Los Angeles, the score should remain high once again.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current trends, the Sacramento Kings have 70.1% of bettors choosing them to come out victorious against Los Angeles.
La Clippers Vs Sacramento Kings Final Prediction
Heading into this game, the Los Angeles Clippers have shocked everyone this season and should be in a pretty competitive game against this Kings roster. Even though it won’t be a complete blowout, Sacramento’s offense will help them win this matchup by a convincing amount. With De’Aaron Fox having to face James Harden up top in this matchup, one key will be how the Kings point guard can attack Harden despite a size deficiency. Using speed and athleticism will be one way, but another big goal is to hope to set screens with Sabonis so Fox gets a one-on-one matchup with Ivica Zubac. As De’Aaron Fox is known for his stealing ability and speed, he will try to poke a lot of loose balls from James Harden and finish on the other end at his own will. Seeing that James Harden himself has stepped up into a great defender will force Fox to take a lot of threes in this game or pass it around. Even though the Clippers have one of the best two-way shooting guards in Norman Powell on their roster, Demar Derozan is someone who can play a similar game and switch with Kevin Huerter throughout. Using this to his potential, he can create a lot of easy looks from the mid-range and even can dominate his normal small forward position against Terance Mann. Although the Clippers have Derrick Jones Jr. playing defense underneath, Keegan Murray’s ability to space the floor with Domantas Sabonis look for him after many great rebounds could cause problems. As Sabonis and him both are great at getting boards, the King’s center has shown great passing ability and could spread the ball around, while creating a disguise for defenders to go one way. Seeing this, the Kings will dominate this game, but Los Angeles can keep it close if Kevin Porter Jr. and Kris Dunn continue showing great two-way ability.
Our prediction: The Kings win this game and cover their -5.5 spread, while the score goes over 239.5 points.
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