NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons
NLB Staff
04.11.2024 02:17
nets vs pistons picks
As the Brooklyn Nets have slowly become one of the most shocking teams in the NBA to start the season, they face a Pistons squad that continues their extended rebuild. With Brooklyn coming off their 2nd straight victory against the Chicago Bulls, the Pistons got destroyed by 30 points against a Knicks squad and are currently at 1-5. This game will be played on Monday, November 4th at 2:00 A.M. IST in Little Caesars Arena. Below are our bettings tips, vital injuries, player props, and recent head-to-head matchups to create a prediction for this matchup.
Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons Moneyline Pick
Heading into this game, the moneyline for the Nets was at -164. This is a great pick because the Nets have looked like a much stronger team this season with Cam Thomas seemingly scoring a career-high in points every night. As Dennis Schroeder and Cade Cunningham’s matchup will be a vital key in this game, the Pistons potentially not having Ausar Thompson could give Cameron Johnson a lot of chances to score with Tim Hardaway Jr. defending. Although Jalen Duren could be more productive than Nic Claxton on defense, this could really be a game where Claxton could dominate and crash the boards every time there is a loose ball. With the Nets having a much better forward in Dorian Finney-Smith and key sixth man in Ben Simmons, this moneyline is worth taking as the Nets will win by a pretty big margin.
2. Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons Point Spread Pick
As the Nets are listed at -3 spread, they should be favored in this game as they will dominate on both sides. Seeing the ability of Cam Thomas and Dennis Schroeder as a top scoring backcourt this season, their duo along with Ben Simmons playmaking off the bench and Nic Claxton’s rebounding have been this team’s strengths to be a surprise. Meanwhile, as Cade Cunningham keeps developing as a leader, Jaden Ivey’s weakness on defense will be a huge issue when guarding as elite of a mid-range and three-point scorer as Cam Thomas. Looking at this, the Nets will control on the defensive end with Nic Claxton creating block opportunities and Cameron Johnson’s improvement near perimeter with Dennis Schroeder already being a solid dribbling stopper. Knowing this, the Nets will end this game quite a few points and the -3 spread looks great for them.
3. Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
The over/under in this game is at 217.5 points with the chance to go over at 1.55. With both teams having amazing point guards that can attack the basket and great perimeter shooters that were added or developed this season, a lot of buckets should be scored during this matchup. As the last matchup between these two squads had 216 points last season, it should be somewhat similar then that. In addition, with 3 of their past 4 games going over 130 points, this head to head should once again be very high-scoring and have high shooting efficiency.
Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons Top Player Props
Cade Cunningham Over 26.5 points at 1.69: With Cade Cunningham having another great season scoring the ball, he will have a chance to go up against a much older version of Dennis Schroeder and use athleticism to beat him every time. As someone who averages 25.0 points a game and shoots 41.0% from three, he will once again be able to create his own shots when Cam Thomas switches on him and the Nets run with a weaker defender in Ben Simmons at point guard. Knowing all this, Cunningham should continue dominating the scoring box and add a lot of efficiency to the Pistons scoring.
Nic Claxton over 9.5 rebounds at 1.75: As Nicholas Claxton has developed into one of the top rebounders this season, his ability to jump for every board with length can help control the glass when on Jalen Duren. With the Pistons showing weakness rebounding whenever Tobias Harris ends up guarding a center, Claxton should keep finding ways to get 2nd chance opportunities over the Pistons power forward. Adding the fact that Claxton averages 8.4 boards a game this season and is much bigger than backup Isiash Stewart as well, he can definitely dominate this game on the glass through all rotations.
Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons Injury News & Impact
Brooklyn Nets Injuries: As Trendon Watford is ruled out once again, the Nets will miss having a forward who can score, 52.3%, at a very efficient rate and will have to once again give young Jalen Wilson extended minutes off the bench. In addition, not having Bojan Bogdanovic, 15.2 points and 45.4% from the field last year, will really force Cam Thomas and Dennis Schroeder to keep firing away threes at a much higher rate than normal. Seeing these two pieces go could backfire against a big Pistons team, but the Nets have managed without their backup center Dayron Sharpe for the first couple of weeks as well.
Detroit Pistons Injuries: With the Pistons getting back Ausaur Thompson from an illness most likely, this team should be fully healthy against a Nets team that they have a lot of potential to beat.
Head-to-Head Trends
As the Brooklyn Nets have lately dominated this matchup, they have won 5 of their last 7 games against the Pistons and had a 7-game winning streak against Detroit before that as well. Although these games have been very high-scoring, the Nets have beaten Detroit by over 10 points in 3 of their last 5 matchups. Keeping control of these head-to-head, Brooklyn are 3-2 against the spread versus the Pistons since April 2023. During these games, the Nets have been able to put up 118.4 points per game and score over 110 every single game.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
As we look at the public trends, 64.5% of the bettors are backing the Brooklyn Nets to come out victorious against this Detroit Pistons squad.
Nets vs Pistons Final Prediction
With the Brooklyn Nets having some big games like their victory over the Bucks and Grizzlies, they have shown to compete with anyone in the league. Playing a much more inexperienced and weaker defensive team in the Pistons, they should continue having a great offensive output. Led by Cam Thomas at the shooting guard position, he will be able to continue scoring on a fully offensive-minded guard in Jaden Ivey. Even though Ivey is very quick and gets to the basket with ease, Thomas has shown to really handle guards like this game step for step shutting them down continuously, while forcing Cade Cunningham more than he can handle. In a great one on one matchup against Dennis Schroeder, this one that the Pistons could win but ends up being very less due to Brooklyn having a perimeter three-point shooter like Cameron Johnson. If Ausar Thompson doesn’t play for the Pistons, Tim Hardaway Jr. keeps showing incapability of closing out wing shooters and could struggle with Ron Holland as a backup too. Although Ben Simmons is the Nets worst shooter, his ability to play-make is something that Tobias Harris won’t be able to stop and could create a duo with Nic Claxton in their pick and roll actions. With the Pistons having Jalen Duren as a great rim protector, they can really keep this game tight if he really slows down Claxton’s rebounding and Simmons passing, while Cade Cunningham can have an extremely efficient scoring night.
Our prediction: The Brooklyn Nets will win this game and cover their -3 spread, while the score will go over 217.5 points.
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