NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics
NLB Staff
04.11.2024 01:47
Hawks vs Celtics Picks
With the Atlanta Hawks heading into this game down a lot of pieces and struggling to find early season success, they will face a red-hot Boston Celtics team that look like the true contenders from last year. As the Hawks are coming off a 8-point loss against the Sacramento Kings and have a pending result vs New Orleans, their opponents in Boston just beat the Charlotte Hornets by 10 for their 2nd straight win. This game will be played on Tuesday, November 5th at 6:15 A.M. IST in TD Garden, Boston. Below are our betting picks, vital players, head-to-head matchups, and public trends to create a potential outcome for this game.
Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Moneyline Pick
The moneyline for the Boston Celtics is at -400 during this game because they will continue scoring at their own will. Having Al Horford in the middle against Clint Capela will help this already strong scoring unit led by Jayson Tatum get many second chance opportunities. As the Celtics have Jaylen Brown playing at a dominant level this and Derrick White’s continuous improvement, the Hawks could really miss Dyson Daniels and De’Andre Hunter in this game if their offense doesn’t fire back. With the Celtics being 5-2 in their last 7 games hitting the moneyline, this matchup should help continue building their regular season record and start a new streak against Atlanta.
2. Atlanta Hawks vs Boston CelticsPoint Spread Pick
The spread in this matchup is at -9.5 for the Boston Celtics which looks like a great pick. As this Celtics squad heads in with the same dominance on both ends of the floor, their point guard Jrue Holiday should provide a lot of offense against Trae Young in this game. With Jaylen Brown having one of his highest-scoring seasons, he will match up perfectly against Zaccharie Risacher and take him into the paint for a bucket every time. Having great three-point shooting ability, he and Jayson Tatum will continue their perimeter shooting prowess from the wings, while Derrick White is going to be the main top of the key shooter against the potential Garrison Matthews. With mismatches all over the place, the Celtics -9.5 is really worth taking as they will dominate even though Trae Young and Onyeka Okonguwu will try to make this game somewhat respectable.
3. Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under for this game is 244.5 points, it is very possible that this game will remain high-scoring despite all the issues the Hawks are having. Whenever Atlanta has their star point guard and a solid second score, they always manage to put up a good amount of points, while the Celtics starting 5 should be on-fire throughout the game. With both teams possessing a couple great three-point shooters and strong paint options off the bench, a lot of buckets will be made during this matchup. As their last game went for 245 combined points with the same number of injuries, this game should produce a somewhat similar score.
Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Top Player Props
Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 points at 1.95: As the Celtics will control all 5 positions in this game with advantages on at least one side, Holiday will be able to handle a weaker defender like Trae Young with ease. As Boston should get a lot of positions in this game with Atlanta missing their highly efficient shooters, Jrue is someone that has shot 51.5% from three. Showing great composure with his dribbling skills and ability to hit mid-range shots against smaller defenders like Trae Young, he should definitely have a much higher scoring game than his season-average of 12.6 points.
Zacharrie Risacher Under 10.5 points at 1.91: With the Hawks relying mostly on Trae Young for scoring in this game as he remains their key, many forwards won’t see as many touches as normal. If Dyson Daniels doesn’t play, Garrison Matthews should have the ability to create a great scoring backcourt with Young and most of the scoring will exclusively come from there. In addition Risacher hasn’t shown much development across his first 7 games and will really struggle against an elite defender like Jaylen Brown after being dominated by middle of the pack ones. As someone who has only averaged 8.2 points and shot 31.6% from the field, the switches of Tatum and Horford will make it tougher for him creating a lot of rougher looks leading to less points.
Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Injury News & Impact
Atlanta Hawks Injuries: As the Hawks enter this game with a vast number of vital injuries, it all starts with their loss of Dejounte Murray. Given that he was someone who provided passing, 10 assists on opening night, and steadied the tempo on defense, many offenses will be able to expose Trae Young’s inability to defend. Although Dyson Daniels has proven to be an elite defender next to Young, he is questionable for the matchup with a hip injury and it could be that Garrison Matthews will have to start across Young once again. In addition, the Hawks will now have to rely more on Jalen Johnson’s defense to improve at the forward position since De’Andre Hunter, 18.0 points and 6.5 rebounds, will potentially be missing this game due to a knee injury as the Hawks best two-way player not out for an extended time. Finally, this Hawks team will really have to rely on Trae Young to put up enormous numbers on offense every night from three-point range since Bogdan Bogdanovic, 8.0 points, is once again going to miss time due to a hamstring issue.
Boston Celtics Injuries: With the Celtics missing Kristapas Porzingis due to a left ankle injury, they should run with their same rotation that they started this season using. As Al Horford, 7.7 points, will start for Boston in the middle, they will miss some of Porzingis three-point scoring ability but have shown that it’s not been such a huge factor. Showing that they can still match the same firepower with Derrick White and Jayson Tatum’s extended role, this group should still be as dominant without their 7’2” center.
Head-to-Head Trends
As the Atlanta Hawks do have a two-game winning streak against the Boston Celtics, this has come after Boston owned them for almost two years. Having won seven-straight games prior to their little losing streak, the Celtics lost to this Hawks team by a slim margin in both games. As the total combined score difference between both teams was 3 points during those two matchups, Boston had won 5 of the 6 games prior to that by more than 8 points. Being 3-2 against the spread in the last 5 matchups, their record should improve in this game and so should their average score after putting in 115.8 points during this time.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, the Boston Celtics have 87.5% bettors choosing them to beat the Atlanta Hawks in this matchup.
Final Prediction
As the Boston Celtics enter this game showing great prowess on both ends of the floor, this should be another game which they will easily dominate. With the Hawks losing a ton of pieces, this Celtics group will really be able to utilize Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown to their full potential. With Jrue Holiday going up against the Hawks Trae Young at point guard, this will be a great battle to see who can win at their role better. As Holiday has the ability to really create steals and opportunities the other way, Young’s three-point ability will play a huge factor as someone who can pull up from 50-feet as well. But, as Jayson Tatum could get a huge mismatch on Jalen Johnson this game with De’Andre Hunter potentially out, it could allow him to ease into mid-range jump shots and fade away that won’t be stopped. Given that Dyson Daniels could potentially be in for the Hawks, he will be forced to stick on Derrick White at the shooting guard position, giving Jaylen Brown full control of the perimeter where he can handle Zaccharie Risacher and command a strong defensive performance against the young Hawks rooke. The one key though is, if Trae Young can knock down a lot of deep shots and Onyeka Okonguwu replicates a similar performance to the first two games, this will be a lot tighter of a contest.
Our Prediction: The Boston Celtics win and hit their -9.5 spread with the total score going over 244.5 points.
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