NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Prediction, 13th November
NLB Staff
12.11.2024 01:44
Suns vs Utah Prediction
Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns have been one of the best two-way teams in the league, while Utah continues tanking and developing core pieces to build for their future. As Phoenix came off a tough overtime loss to the Kings, Utah had a shocking 112-111 win over San Antonio. This game will take place on November 13th at 7:30 IST in Delta Center of Salt Lake City. Underneath are our key bettings, important player props, vital injury, and recent head-to-head trends in order to create an accurate outcome for this matchup.
Suns vs Utah Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the moneyline pick is -154 for Phoenix, this is a perfect take because of their great ability to replace important players. As head coach Mike Budenholzer has really turned into one of the best coaches around the league, his ability to use Devin Booker as a leader really showed the impact on Friday night. With possibly no KD or Bradley Beal, this unit still has Tyus Jones to help them attack the basket while also playing defense and knocking down long threes. Someone who is as consistent as him, he can really find Jusuf Nurkic or Royce O’Neal inside for baskets near the hoop. While, Utah still have Lauri Markannen and Jordan Clarkson to help them with scoring, it won’t be enough as many players like Grayson Allen and Ryan Dunn will come up with big at their respective positions. Although Mason Plumlee is a great passer and rebounder, his scoring will be limited by Walker Kessler and could force Josh Okogie to do more as an aggressive layup taker from outside. Knowing the Suns have so much depth and their players aren’t ruled out yet, they should continue being a great team by dominating this matchup for a 9-2 record vs the spread against Utah.
2. Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Point Spread Pick
With the Suns spread falling down to -2.5 due to some key injuries, this should still be a key pick to take. As Devin Booker still leads this Suns team being one of the best all-around scorers, he will play against a defender like Collin Sexton and should use it as a huge advantage. Seeing that he will be able to attack the rim or knock down the three, his combination with Tyus Jones will help this Suns team move the needle by itself. Having seen Jones play on both ends, he can slow down Jordan Clarkson’s offensive game, while also creating a way to dribble around him and work off screens. Although Nurkic is questionable, him playing would give the Suns a solid big-man that could finish inside while being bigger than Walker Kessler. Knowing this his board’s advantage could be higher as well, but if Miles Plumlee starts, Royce O’Neal will keep switching to the middle as more of a threat. Having Ryan Dunn as a solid scorer if Kevin Durant doesn’t play, Grayson Allen will continue being a great three-point shooting threat with potentially no Bradley Beal. Allen has continued to dominante many young small forwards and should really have great finishes over Cody Williams. Looking at all this, if two big pieces of Phoenix don’t play the -2.5 is still perfect due to the fact they still have other impactful pieces that can add to their scoring and defense as a much stronger squad than Utah.
3. Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under for this game is 234 points, there should be anticipation for both teams to put in a huge number of points. Even though the Suns may be missing some very key pieces, having a pretty solid scoring center and their main shooting guard are a great start for this roster. In addition to this, they have one of the best three-point shooting bench pieces and a point guard who can pass plus score at his own will. Having this without their top two players who could potentially return, Utah provides one of the best power forwards in this game. Even though their center doesn’t have much scoring skill, this squad will have a very underrated backcourt that could put in shots at a very high rate. Looking at this in addition to their last game going for 244 combined points, this should be somewhere around there.
Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Top Player Props
Devin Booker over 28.5 points at 1.83: As Devin Booker remains one of the most prolific scorers in NBA play, his all-around scoring ability will be a great advantage over someone like Collin Sexton. Known for his three-point shooting as well, Booker will be the Suns number one option and should definitely grow his 23.1 points per game average during this matchup. Seeing this, it is very worth taking the over on Booker as he will be way over his season average.
Lauri Markannen over 6.5 rebounds at 1.67: Seeing that Lauri Markannen has become one of the best rebounders league-wide, he should continue being the 2nd best one on this Utah squad. Someone who is averaging 7.0 boards a night, he will have a chance to get someone like Mason Plumlee on him with Nurkic likely out. Knowing that it is a huge size and skill advantage, Markannen should go over his nightly amount.
Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Injury News & Impact
Utah Jazz Injuries: Although this Jazz squad is still missing a key backup big game in Taylor Hendricks, they could be without starting point guard Keyonte George due to a foot injury. Seeing that he is someone who averages 15.6 points a night, Jordan Clarkson will have to step up in a much bigger role during this game.
Phoenix Suns Injuries: As the Phoenix Suns come into this game, there is potential they could be without their two of three biggest pieces. Seeing that Bradley Beal, 17.0 points, had X-rays on his right knee, and Kevin Durant, 27.6 points, got a left calf strain, a lot of the scoring potentially relies on Devin Booker. Having a much more improved Jusuf Nurkic, 10.2 rebounds, could be another massive issue, as they will potentially have to start Miles Plumlee if he is not at 100%.
Suns vs Utah Head-to-Head Trends
With the Suns currently dominating this matchup, they should continue their streak of 6-straight wins against Utah. Looking like a much more complete and talented squad, this Suns squad has always found a way to beat the Jazz wether it is an extremely close game or complete blow out. As the Suns are heavy favorites to win yet again, they have managed to score over 104 points in 9 straight head-to-head matchups. Seeing this plus the fact their team developed even more, Phoenix should try and improve on their 8-2 record vs the spread.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at this game, 61.1% of the bettors are favoring the Phoenix Suns to knock of the Utah Jazz.
Suns vs Utah Final Prediction
Seeing that the Phoenix Suns have provided one of the best offenses for many people to see over past couple season, their improvement on defense will make it very likely for them to beat this Jazz squad. Although it is very possible for Ryan Dunn to start over Kevin Durant due to his injury, KD could still play and be an imposing threat over Lauri Markannen. But, although Markannen will win the matchup if Dunn plays, his ability to score has been something very underrated about this Suns team this season. Having him down low could cause some issues, but if Jusuf Nurkic is out, Royce O’Neal could help bring a double-team and cause a lot of tough shots for the Jazz star. As Nurkic has shown great ability as a rebounder this season, the Suns will miss the aspect of his volume of boards, but O’Neal has shown to be a more aggressive threat that can also knock down mid-range jump shots. Given that this Utah Jazz squad will likely not have Keyonte George, Jordan Clarkson will have to go up against one of the most elusive point guards right now in Tyus Jones. As Jones has been a key factor for this team’s defense prowess, his play-making ability will help him continue creating a big time duo with Devin Booker. Although Booker seems to be the weakest defender on this lineup, his ability to score from anywhere at a rapid pace and create mismatches is something that will help him outscore Collin Sexton. Since Sexton has been a great scorer, he should continue being able to put in shots from the perimeter or inside, but his consistency is something that is unmatched to Devin Booker’s. Seeing this plus the fact that Phoenix has many key pieces like Grayson Allen and Monte Morris of the bench, Utah could only be able to make it tightly contested if Lauri Markannen and Walker Kessler complement each othr’s games very well in the middle.
Our prediction: Phoenix Suns win and cover their -2.5 spread, while the score goes over 234 points.
BeGambleAware.org